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Oil Prices: Lower for Longer

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  • Crude oil prices have fallen further and faster than anyone would have predicted, and are now sitting below the US$50 per barrel mark.
  • As such, TD Economics team have downgraded their WTI price forecast, and are now calling for a lower bottom, as well as a slow recovery.

We’ve looked to the economists at TD Bank Group to share an overview of the recent oil price drop. Their January 2015 report provides a timely analysis of the factors behind the oil price moves, along with their longer term outlook.

The study helps understand the complex factors driving the supply and demand for oil, and explains their potential impacts on the forecast oil barrel price. The outlook for the oil price through 2015 and beyond is covered, with a balanced view that highlights some of the risks inherent in any forecasting.

For investors, the effect of the price of oil on economic growth and financial markets is significant, affecting not only the oil producers, but every market sector where energy and transport costs are important.

View full report

Credit to Dina Ignjatovic in TD Bank Group Economics team for the report.

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This report is provided by TD Economics. It is for informational and educational purposes only as of the date of writing, and may not be appropriate for other purposes. The views and opinions expressed may change at any time based on market or other conditions and may not come to pass. This material is not intended to be relied upon as investment advice or recommendations, does not constitute a solicitation to buy or sell securities and should not be considered specific legal, investment or tax advice. The report does not provide material information about the business and affairs of TD Bank Group and the members of TD Economics are not spokespersons for TD Bank Group with respect to its business and affairs. The information contained in this report has been drawn from sources believed to be reliable, but is not guaranteed to be accurate or complete. This report contains economic analysis and views, including about future economic and financial markets performance. These are based on certain assumptions and other factors, and are subject to inherent risks and uncertainties. The actual outcome may be materially different. The Toronto-Dominion Bank and its affiliates and related entities that comprise the TD Bank Group are not liable for any errors or omissions in the information, analysis or views contained in this report, or for any loss or damage suffered.

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